SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Gomel win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Neman | Draw | Gomel |
43.88% ( -0.48) | 26.32% ( 0.14) | 29.81% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 51.35% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.96% ( -0.4) | 53.04% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.37% ( -0.34) | 74.63% ( 0.34) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( -0.41) | 24.03% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.71% ( -0.59) | 58.3% ( 0.59) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.59% ( 0.05) | 32.41% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.08% ( 0.05) | 68.93% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Neman | Draw | Gomel |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.87% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.81% |
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