SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 24.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nice in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nice.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Strasbourg |
50.67% ( 0.02) | 24.36% ( 0.15) | 24.97% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.94% ( -0.77) | 48.06% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.77% ( -0.71) | 70.23% ( 0.71) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.02% ( -0.29) | 18.98% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.48% ( -0.48) | 50.52% ( 0.48) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.44% ( -0.55) | 33.56% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.79% ( -0.61) | 70.2% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.15% Total : 50.66% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 24.97% |
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