SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Nice had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Nice win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
33.98% ( 0.05) | 24.76% ( -0.01) | 41.26% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.16% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.05% ( 0.05) | 44.95% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.69% ( 0.05) | 67.31% ( -0.05) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.36% ( 0.06) | 25.64% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.46% ( 0.08) | 60.54% ( -0.08) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.21% ( -0) | 21.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45% | 55% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.98% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.26% |
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