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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
N

Strasbourg
1 - 3
Nice

Bakwa (18')
Santos (49'), Sylla (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Guessand (44' pen.), Dante (52'), Sanson (84')
Cho (34'), Bard (85'), Sanson (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 1-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Nice
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Strasbourg 1-2 Nice

Strasbourg failed to find the net last time out, and although we believe that they will have more luck on Sunday, we feel that Le Racing are heading towards another defeat. Nice earned a respectable point at Marseille last weekend, meaning we reckon that they will go one better in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawNice
30.49% (-0.127 -0.13) 26.34% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 43.17% (0.155 0.16)
Both teams to score 51.63% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.16% (0.067999999999998 0.07)52.84% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.54% (0.058 0.06)74.46% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)31.81% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.76% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)68.24% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (0.10899999999999 0.11)24.29% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (0.152 0.15)58.67% (-0.151 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 30.49%
    Nice 43.17%
    Draw 26.33%
StrasbourgDrawNice
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.07% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.49%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.73% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.74% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.65% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 43.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Reims
Saturday, April 13 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Rennes
Sunday, March 31 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-3 Strasbourg
Saturday, March 16 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-1 Monaco
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Nice
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 3-0 Lorient
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 0-0 Nice
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-2 Nantes
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-3 Nice
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Nice
Wednesday, March 13 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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