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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Ferdi Petit
N

Lens
0 - 0
Nice


Frankowski (53'), Zaroury (67'), Still (84')
Zaroury (84')
FT

Abdelmonem (28'), Dante (90+9')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Lens
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-1 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, September 25 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Lens 0-0 Nice

Lens' run of draws will not go on forever, but the likeliest outcome is a fourth-straight stalemate here, with little to separate the sides, and the hosts performing very impressively in defence of late. Unfortunately for Nice, they cannot play Saint Etienne every week, and they will find it difficult to break down a side yet to concede a home goal this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Nice had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
LensDrawNice
50.37% (-0.122 -0.12) 24.53% (0.131 0.13) 25.1% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.4% (-0.434 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.31% (-0.567 -0.57)48.69% (0.564 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2% (-0.517 -0.52)70.8% (0.512 0.51)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)19.34% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.87% (-0.446 -0.45)51.12% (0.44 0.44)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.2% (-0.31800000000001 -0.32)33.79% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.54% (-0.346 -0.35)70.46% (0.342 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Lens 50.36%
    Nice 25.1%
    Draw 24.53%
LensDrawNice
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 50.36%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.104 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 25.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Lens
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-0 Lyon
Sunday, September 15 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-1 Lens
Sunday, September 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-0 Lens
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lens 2-0 Brest
Sunday, August 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Panathinaikos
Thursday, August 22 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Nice 1-1 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, September 25 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nice 8-0 St Etienne
Friday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Nice
Saturday, September 14 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-4 Nice
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-1 Toulouse
Sunday, August 25 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 2-1 Nice
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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