SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 63.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 3-1 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
63.89% ( 0.12) | 18.83% ( -0.02) | 17.29% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 61.24% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.15% ( -0.11) | 32.85% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.45% ( -0.12) | 54.55% ( 0.13) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.2% ( 0) | 9.8% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.44% ( -0) | 32.56% ( 0.01) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.89% ( -0.17) | 32.12% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.41% ( -0.2) | 68.59% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.34% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.68% Total : 63.89% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 18.83% | 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.57% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.11% Total : 17.29% |
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