SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Under-21s win with a probability of 56.84%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 23.82% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.93%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
| 56.84% | 19.33% ( -0) | 23.82% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 70.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.52% | 25.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.46% ( 0) | 45.53% ( -0) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.72% ( -0) | 9.28% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.67% | 31.33% ( -0) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% | 22.05% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.61% ( 0) | 55.39% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.93% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-2 @ 5.24% 1-0 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 4.58% 4-1 @ 4.12% 4-2 @ 3.11% 4-0 @ 2.72% 5-1 @ 1.96% 4-3 @ 1.57% 5-2 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 4.45% Total : 56.84% | 1-1 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 6.61% 3-3 @ 2.64% 0-0 @ 2.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 19.33% | 1-2 @ 5.56% 2-3 @ 3.33% 0-1 @ 3.09% 1-3 @ 2.8% 0-2 @ 2.34% 2-4 @ 1.26% 0-3 @ 1.18% 1-4 @ 1.06% 3-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 23.82% |
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