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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.4%) and 1-3 (5.25%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
35.18% ( 0.33) | 22.04% ( -0.03) | 42.77% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 68.7% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.67% ( 0.23) | 31.32% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.23% ( 0.27) | 52.76% ( -0.28) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.31% ( 0.26) | 18.68% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.98% ( 0.44) | 50.02% ( -0.44) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.49% ( -0.02) | 15.51% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.59% ( -0.04) | 44.41% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.18% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.05% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 42.77% |
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