SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
47.1% ( 0.16) | 23.2% ( 0.09) | 29.69% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 61.73% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.58% ( -0.59) | 39.41% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.24% ( -0.62) | 61.75% ( 0.61) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.95% ( -0.16) | 17.04% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.8% ( -0.29) | 47.2% ( 0.29) |
| Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.41% ( -0.46) | 25.58% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.54% ( -0.63) | 60.46% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.14% Total : 47.1% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.2% | 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.69% |
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