Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading Under-21s win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.12%) and 3-1 (5.07%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading Under-21s would win this match.
