SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Barnet |
40.88% ( 0.24) | 24.1% ( -0.04) | 35.02% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 60.8% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.38% ( 0.16) | 41.61% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.98% ( 0.16) | 64.01% ( -0.16) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( 0.18) | 20.54% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.95% ( 0.28) | 53.05% ( -0.28) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.51% ( -0.03) | 23.49% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.48% ( -0.05) | 57.51% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.02% |
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