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National League | Gameweek 27
Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Hive Stadium
SU

Barnet
1 - 0
Southend

Olowu (84')
Hall-Johnson (27'), Gorman (45+2'), Cropper (90+3'), Hartigan (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vilhete (45+5'), Scott-Morriss (60'), Husin (90'), Taylor (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southend 0-2 Barnet
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 0-2 Barnet
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League

We said: Barnet 1-0 Southend United

Southend's squad will again be stretched for this match, and while there are seemingly brighter times ahead for the club, this could be another frustrating game. Barnet have been one of the best sides in the division this season, and we are expecting them to win again on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 56.06%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.01%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barnet in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barnet.

Result
BarnetDrawSouthend United
56.06%21.38% (0.0010000000000012 0) 22.56%
Both teams to score 61.1% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.11% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.31% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)13.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.07% (0.0020000000000024 0)39.92%
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (0.0019999999999953 0)29.61% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.64% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Barnet 56.06%
    Southend United 22.56%
    Draw 21.38%
BarnetDrawSouthend United
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.91%
3-1 @ 6.58%
3-0 @ 5.41%
3-2 @ 4.01% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 3.33%
4-0 @ 2.74%
4-2 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.35%
5-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 56.06%
1-1 @ 9.63%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 3.91%
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.38%
1-2 @ 5.86%
0-1 @ 4.76%
0-2 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.41%
1-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 22.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Southend 0-2 Barnet
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 6-0 Boreham Wood
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-1 Barnet
Saturday, December 16 at 3.15pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 1-4 Newport
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Newport 1-1 Barnet
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wealdstone 3-2 Barnet
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 0-2 Barnet
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-2 Southend
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 1-2 Bromley
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-1 Southend
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 2-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 2-0 Southend
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League


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