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National League | Gameweek 23
Jan 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Hive Stadium
D&

Barnet
2 - 1
Dag & Red

Kabamba (45+1'), Brunt (60')
Hartigan (64'), Potter (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rees (27')
Eastman (90+2'), Hill (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Altrincham 3-2 Barnet
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 4-4 Dag & Red
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League

We said: Barnet 2-1 Dagenham & Redbridge

With Barnet having lost their most recent fixture, Dagenham & Redbridge will fancy their chances of causing the upset at the Hive Stadium. However, we cannot ignore Barnet's form preceding that defeat and they should still have enough in the tank to come through with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnet in this match.

Result
BarnetDrawDagenham & Redbridge
52.12% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 22.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.92% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 58.43% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)41.94% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65%64.35% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.85% (0.016000000000005 0.02)16.15% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.4% (0.031999999999996 0.03)45.6% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)30.31% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.5% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)66.5% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Barnet 52.12%
    Dagenham & Redbridge 24.92%
    Draw 22.95%
BarnetDrawDagenham & Redbridge
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.9% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.69% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.25% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 52.12%
1-1 @ 10.65%
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.9%
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 24.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Altrincham 3-2 Barnet
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 1-0 Southend
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 0-2 Barnet
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 6-0 Boreham Wood
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-1 Barnet
Saturday, December 16 at 3.15pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 1-4 Newport
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Eastleigh 4-4 Dag & Red
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 4-1 Eastleigh
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Fylde 1-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 0-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 1-2 Rochdale
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in National League


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