SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizan win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partizan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Partizan | Draw | Lugano |
42.72% ( -0.11) | 23.18% ( 0.04) | 34.1% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 63.96% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.62% ( -0.18) | 37.38% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.4% ( -0.19) | 59.6% ( 0.19) |
| Partizan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.02% ( -0.11) | 17.97% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.18% ( -0.2) | 48.82% ( 0.2) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( -0.04) | 22.02% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.66% ( -0.07) | 55.34% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Partizan | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.84% Total : 42.72% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 3.47% Total : 34.1% |
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