SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Piast Gliwice had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Piast Gliwice win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Piast Gliwice |
44.49% ( 0.1) | 24.67% ( 0) | 30.85% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.25% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.4% ( -0.04) | 45.61% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.07% ( -0.04) | 67.93% ( 0.05) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( 0.03) | 20.58% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.88% ( 0.04) | 53.12% ( -0.04) |
| Piast Gliwice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( -0.08) | 27.91% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.47% ( -0.11) | 63.53% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Piast Gliwice |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.49% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.85% |
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