Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 11.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
Result | ||
Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Puszcza Niepolomice |
69.1% ( -0.05) | 19.09% ( 0.03) | 11.81% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 45.47% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.72% ( -0.05) | 46.28% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.43% ( -0.05) | 68.57% ( 0.05) |
Pogon Szczecin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.73% ( -0.03) | 12.27% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.98% ( -0.06) | 38.02% ( 0.07) |
Puszcza Niepolomice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.83% ( 0.02) | 48.17% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.65% ( 0.01) | 83.35% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Puszcza Niepolomice |
2-0 @ 13% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 3-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 69.09% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 19.09% | 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 11.81% |
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