After Portsmouth got their promotion bid back on track last weekend, we think that they will record a second straight victory this weekend, especially as they have won two of their last three matches against Port Vale.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 53.97%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
0.44) 
-0.55) 
