Portsmouth have won eight of their 13 home league games this season (D4, L1), but we think that they will have to settle for a draw when they face a Leyton Orient side that has lost just two of their previous 11 away trips in the third tier.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.04) 
