Having won three of their last five league games, Port Vale head into Monday's contest off the back of a positive run of results, and we think that they will claim another victory when they go up against a Carlisle side that has lost six of their previous nine matches in League One.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
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