The two sides played out a goalless affair when they met at the Lamex Stadium in August, and with Portsmouth experiencing a dip in form, we think that they could be held to another draw in their first outing of the new year.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
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