Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Bournemouth |
40.56% ( 0.29) | 23.81% ( -0.04) | 35.63% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 61.99% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.89% ( 0.14) | 40.1% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.53% ( 0.14) | 62.47% ( -0.15) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.95% ( 0.19) | 20.04% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.74% ( 0.31) | 52.26% ( -0.31) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% ( -0.07) | 22.46% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.99% ( -0.1) | 56% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Bournemouth |
2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 40.56% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.63% |
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