Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 25.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.31%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Quevilly win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
