Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.
-0.37) 
0.4) 
