Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Caen had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
0.01) 
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