Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.1) 
