Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Quevilly win with a probability of 46.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Quevilly win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
0.08) 
-0) 
