SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Troyes |
57.68% ( 0.09) | 22.98% ( 0.08) | 19.33% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.7% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.46% ( -0.56) | 48.54% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.33% ( -0.51) | 70.67% ( 0.51) |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.44% ( -0.17) | 16.56% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.66% ( -0.3) | 46.34% ( 0.3) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.76% ( -0.5) | 39.24% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.05% ( -0.47) | 75.95% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 57.67% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.98% | 0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.27% Total : 19.33% |
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