SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Celta Vigo |
41.4% ( -0.28) | 27.26% ( -0.1) | 31.34% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 49.2% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.88% ( 0.49) | 56.11% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.82% ( 0.4) | 77.18% ( -0.39) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( 0.08) | 26.69% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% ( 0.1) | 61.94% ( -0.1) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% ( 0.53) | 32.89% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% ( 0.58) | 69.47% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.4% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.34% |
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