Four of the last five La Liga matches between these two sides have finished level, and we are predicting another stalemate here; Sevilla have dropped points in half of their eight home league games this term, and Celta are certainly good enough to avoid defeat at Estadio Ramon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.
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