SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing de Santander in this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
41.85% ( 0) | 28.35% ( -0.01) | 29.8% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.48% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.49% ( 0.06) | 60.51% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.37% ( 0.05) | 80.63% ( -0.05) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( 0.03) | 28.52% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% ( 0.04) | 64.3% ( -0.04) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.63% ( 0.04) | 36.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.84% ( 0.04) | 73.16% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 13.01% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 41.85% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.34% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 29.79% |
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