San Pedro will be looking forward to a dream tie against a La Liga side, but while it will be an unforgettable day for the hosts, we believe that they will fall to a heavy defeat even if Celta decide to make wholesale changes for the cup clash.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 85.9%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for UD San Pedro had a probability of 4.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 0-4 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.46%), while for a UD San Pedro win it was 2-1 (1.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.