Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 61.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rakow Czestochowa in this match.