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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5
Aug 19, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Rakow

Rakow
2 - 0
Stal Mielec

Papanikolaou (45+2'), Nowak (63')
Lederman (34'), Tudor (48'), Zwolinski (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wlazlo (46'), Hinokio (55'), Ehmann (88')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Rakow Czestochowa and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aris Limassol 0-1 Rakow
Tuesday, August 15 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Stal Mielec 3-1 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, August 12 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Rakow Czestochowa in this match.

Result
Rakow CzestochowaDrawStal Mielec
66.59% (-0.261 -0.26) 19.65% (0.152 0.15) 13.75% (0.107 0.11)
Both teams to score 49.35% (-0.21 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.84% (-0.434 -0.43)44.15% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.46% (-0.426 -0.43)66.53% (0.42400000000001 0.42)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (-0.202 -0.2)12.35% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.82% (-0.424 -0.42)38.18% (0.422 0.42)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.3% (-0.112 -0.11)43.7% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.12% (-0.093 -0.09)79.88% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Rakow Czestochowa 66.58%
    Stal Mielec 13.75%
    Draw 19.65%
Rakow CzestochowaDrawStal Mielec
2-0 @ 11.8% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 8.23% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.56% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.8% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 66.58%
1-1 @ 9.35% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 19.65%
0-1 @ 4.47% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.87% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 13.75%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Aris Limassol 0-1 Rakow
Tuesday, August 15 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 2-1 Rakow
Friday, August 11 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 2-1 Aris Limassol
Tuesday, August 8 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rakow 2-2 Warta Poznan
Saturday, August 5 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Qarabag 1-1 Rakow
Wednesday, August 2 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rakow 3-2 Qarabag
Wednesday, July 26 at 7.15pm in Champions League
Last Game: Stal Mielec 3-1 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, August 12 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 1-0 Stal Mielec
Monday, August 7 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-0 Piast Gliwice
Sunday, July 30 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-2 Cracovia
Saturday, July 22 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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