Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.