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Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
IL

Salzburg
0 - 1
Inter Milan


Pavlovic (51'), Gluh (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (85' pen.)
Aurel Bisseck (27'), Calhanoglu (49')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swarovski 0-2 Salzburg
Saturday, November 4 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Red Bull Salzburg 1-2 Inter Milan

Salzburg will hope to transfer their recent domestic form onto the Champions League stage as they can ill-afford to lose against Inter if they wish to keep their slim hopes of reaching the last 16 alive. However, the Nerazzurri are a force to be reckoned with at present and should ultimately have too much quality throughout their side, particularly in the final third with Martinez leading the line, for their Austrian counterparts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Red Bull SalzburgDrawInter Milan
30.19% (-0.131 -0.13) 25.13% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 44.69% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 55.35% (0.214 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07% (0.312 0.31)47.93% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89% (0.285 0.28)70.11% (-0.28200000000001 -0.28)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (0.067999999999998 0.07)29.52% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (0.079999999999998 0.08)65.54% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (0.232 0.23)21.46% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.51% (0.354 0.35)54.49% (-0.349 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Red Bull Salzburg 30.19%
    Inter Milan 44.69%
    Draw 25.12%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 7.73% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.72% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 30.19%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.34% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 9.75% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.15% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.5% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.85% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.81% (0.03 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 44.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Swarovski 0-2 Salzburg
Saturday, November 4 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Salzburg 3-0 Rheindorf Altach
Saturday, October 28 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Salzburg
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Salzburg 0-1 LASK
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Austria Klagenfurt 2-2 Salzburg
Sunday, October 8 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Salzburg 0-2 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, November 4 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Roma
Sunday, October 29 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Salzburg
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Torino 0-3 Inter Milan
Saturday, October 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, October 7 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Benfica
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League


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