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Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 25, 2023 at 4pm UK
Red Bull Arena

Salzburg
3 - 2
Hartberg

Ratkov (45+4'), Gluh (48'), Dorgeles (85')
Bidstrup (14'), Dedic (45+6'), Pavlovic (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bowat (11'), Diakite (56')
Entrup (64'), Sangare (90+2')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Hartberg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austria Vienna 0-0 Salzburg
Sunday, November 12 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Hartberg 1-0 Rapid Vienna
Saturday, November 11 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.

Result
Red Bull SalzburgDrawHartberg
45.17% (0.0010000000000048 0) 24.65% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 30.18% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.96% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.18% (-0.171 -0.17)45.82% (0.166 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.86% (-0.162 -0.16)68.13% (0.157 0.16)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)20.37% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.22% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)52.78% (0.105 0.11)
Hartberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)28.46% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (-0.14 -0.14)64.23% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Red Bull Salzburg 45.17%
    Hartberg 30.18%
    Draw 24.64%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawHartberg
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.22%
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 45.17%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 7.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 30.18%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Austria Vienna 0-0 Salzburg
Sunday, November 12 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Salzburg 0-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Swarovski 0-2 Salzburg
Saturday, November 4 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Salzburg 3-0 Rheindorf Altach
Saturday, October 28 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Salzburg
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Salzburg 0-1 LASK
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Hartberg 1-0 Rapid Vienna
Saturday, November 11 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Hartberg 3-2 BW Linz
Sunday, November 5 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Austria Lustenau 0-4 Hartberg
Sunday, October 29 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-1 Hartberg
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Hartberg 3-0 Swarovski
Saturday, October 7 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Hartberg 0-0 Rheindorf Altach
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga


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