Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Hartberg |
45.17% ( 0) | 24.65% ( 0.03) | 30.18% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 56.96% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.18% ( -0.17) | 45.82% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.86% ( -0.16) | 68.13% ( 0.16) |
Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.63% ( -0.07) | 20.37% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.22% ( -0.11) | 52.78% ( 0.11) |
Hartberg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.53% ( -0.11) | 28.46% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.77% ( -0.14) | 64.23% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Hartberg |
1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.22% 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.17% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 30.18% |
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