SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Rapid Vienna |
49.76% ( 1.41) | 23.09% ( -0.38) | 27.14% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.16% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.37% ( 1) | 40.63% ( -1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.98% ( 1.02) | 63.01% ( -1.02) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.48% ( 0.9) | 16.51% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.74% ( 1.6) | 46.25% ( -1.6) |
| Rapid Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.06% ( -0.21) | 27.93% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.44% ( -0.28) | 63.56% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Rapid Vienna |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.39% Total : 49.76% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.14% |
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