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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 53.84%. A win for Reading Under-21s had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Reading Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading Under-21s | Draw | Fulham Under-21s |
25.92% ( -0.44) | 20.24% ( -0.03) | 53.84% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 69.66% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.24% ( -0.28) | 27.76% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.56% ( -0.35) | 48.45% ( 0.35) |
| Reading Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.05% ( -0.43) | 21.96% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.76% ( -0.66) | 55.24% ( 0.66) |
| Fulham Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.25% ( 0.03) | 10.75% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.28% ( 0.07) | 34.72% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading Under-21s | Draw | Fulham Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.33% Total : 25.92% | 1-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.62% Total : 20.24% | 1-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.62% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.11)0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 3.69% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.25% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.5% Total : 53.84% |
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