SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading Under-21s win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.68%) and 2-0 (4.99%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
45.86% ( 0.03) | 21.32% ( -0.01) | 32.82% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 70.71% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.59% ( 0.06) | 28.41% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.75% ( 0.08) | 49.25% ( -0.08) |
| Reading Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.71% ( 0.03) | 13.29% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.88% ( 0.07) | 40.12% ( -0.07) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.55% ( 0.02) | 18.45% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.37% ( 0.04) | 49.63% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 45.86% | 1-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 21.32% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.02% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 3.61% Total : 32.82% |
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