This is a very tricky match to call, as Real Sociedad have been poor in the early stages of the season. Real Valladolid's defence are conceding goals at an alarming rate, though, and we are backing the visitors to navigate their way to a very important three points on Saturday afternoon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 44.35%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 26.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
2.36) 
-0.96) 
