SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 20.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Real Valladolid |
57.34% ( 0.97) | 21.88% ( 0.07) | 20.77% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.64% ( -1.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.22% ( -1.71) | 41.78% ( 1.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.81% ( -1.75) | 64.18% ( 1.74) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.65% ( -0.27) | 14.35% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.79% ( -0.52) | 42.21% ( 0.52) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.13% ( -1.95) | 33.87% ( 1.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.46% ( -2.17) | 70.53% ( 2.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.62)2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.52)3-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.01% Total : 57.34% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.26)0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.36)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.87% | 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.17% Total : 20.77% |
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