SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Real Valladolid |
53.98% ( 0.45) | 22.96% ( -0.01) | 23.06% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 56.22% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.14% ( -0.43) | 43.86% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.75% ( -0.43) | 66.24% ( 0.42) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.81% ( 0) | 16.18% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.34% ( 0) | 45.66% ( -0) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( -0.62) | 32.92% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.5% ( -0.7) | 69.5% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 53.98% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.96% | 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.4% Total : 23.06% |
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