SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 46.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Racing Club de Ferrol |
46.9% ( -1.07) | 28.26% ( 0.6) | 24.84% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 42.69% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.51% ( -1.62) | 62.49% ( 1.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.91% ( -1.2) | 82.09% ( 1.2) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% ( -1.27) | 26.8% ( 1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.91% ( -1.71) | 62.09% ( 1.71) |
| Racing Club de Ferrol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.32% ( -0.48) | 41.68% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.84% ( -0.43) | 78.16% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Racing Club de Ferrol |
| 1-0 @ 14.7% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.81% Total : 46.89% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.66)2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.26% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.18% Total : 24.84% |
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