Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Zaragoza | Draw | Real Oviedo |
37.22% ( 0.79) | 28.58% ( -0.33) | 34.2% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 46% ( 0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.58% ( 1.13) | 60.42% ( -1.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.44% ( 0.85) | 80.56% ( -0.85) |
Real Zaragoza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.81% ( 1.08) | 31.19% ( -1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.47% ( 1.24) | 67.53% ( -1.24) |
Real Oviedo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.85% ( 0.29) | 33.15% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.25% ( 0.31) | 69.75% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Real Zaragoza | Draw | Real Oviedo |
1-0 @ 12.04% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.02% Total : 37.22% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.19% |
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