SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 44.54%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 26.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
44.54% ( -0.71) | 28.57% ( 0.18) | 26.89% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 43.39% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.63% ( -0.3) | 62.37% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.99% ( -0.22) | 82.01% ( 0.22) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% ( -0.51) | 27.96% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.4% ( -0.66) | 63.59% ( 0.66) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.23% ( 0.3) | 39.77% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.56% ( 0.27) | 76.44% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 14.17% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.66% Total : 44.54% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.56% | 0-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.41% Total : 26.89% |
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