Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Zaragoza | Draw | Malaga |
39.49% ( 0.3) | 28.74% ( 0.28) | 31.77% ( -0.58) |
Both teams to score 45.11% ( -0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.69% ( -1.07) | 61.3% ( 1.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.78% ( -0.8) | 81.22% ( 0.8) |
Real Zaragoza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% ( -0.35) | 30.26% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.57% ( -0.43) | 66.43% ( 0.42) |
Malaga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.68% ( -0.98) | 35.31% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.93% ( -1.04) | 72.07% ( 1.04) |
Score Analysis |
Real Zaragoza | Draw | Malaga |
1-0 @ 12.77% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.42% Total : 39.48% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.1% Total : 31.77% |
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