SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Wolfsberger win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Wolfsberger |
42.59% ( -0.62) | 24.49% ( 0.25) | 32.92% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 58.77% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.99% ( -1.01) | 44.01% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.61% ( -0.99) | 66.39% ( 0.99) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( -0.7) | 20.77% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.59% ( -1.11) | 53.41% ( 1.11) |
| Wolfsberger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% ( -0.26) | 25.83% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.21% ( -0.35) | 60.79% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Wolfsberger |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.59% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.49% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.92% |
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