SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 63.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Wolfsberger win it was 2-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsberger | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
16.29% ( 0.18) | 20.07% ( 0.13) | 63.64% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 54.31% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.23% ( -0.25) | 40.77% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.84% ( -0.26) | 63.16% ( 0.26) |
| Wolfsberger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.84% ( 0.07) | 38.16% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.08% ( 0.07) | 74.92% ( -0.06) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.83% ( -0.16) | 12.17% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.2% ( -0.34) | 37.8% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsberger | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
| 2-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.13% Total : 16.29% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.07% | 0-2 @ 10.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 7.23% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 6.97% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.81% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3.67% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.68% Total : 63.64% |
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