SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rodez AF | Draw | Monaco |
31.3% ( -0.06) | 24.01% ( 0.06) | 44.68% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.77% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.6% ( -0.29) | 42.4% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.19% ( -0.29) | 64.8% ( 0.3) |
| Rodez AF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% ( -0.18) | 26.04% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.92% ( -0.25) | 61.07% ( 0.25) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( -0.12) | 19.19% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.13% ( -0.19) | 50.87% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rodez AF | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 31.3% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 44.68% |
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