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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Louis II.
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Monaco
2 - 0
Montpellier

Minamino (9'), Ben Yedder (90+2')
Vanderson (20'), Golovin (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Savanier (45'), Chotard (84'), Tchato (90')
Kouyate (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 5-2 Monaco
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Clermont
Wednesday, November 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 3-1 Montpellier HSC

Montpellier have had their struggles defensively away from home, conceding multiple goals in three of their domestic road fixtures this season. As poor as Les Monegasques were defensively last Friday, we expect their quality attacking players to take their frustrations out on La Paillade. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawMontpellier HSC
58.1% (0.882 0.88) 21.22% (-0.427 -0.43) 20.68% (-0.454 -0.45)
Both teams to score 58.8% (0.786 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (1.365 1.37)38.86% (-1.364 -1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.82% (1.422 1.42)61.18% (-1.421 -1.42)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.84% (0.71499999999999 0.71)13.16% (-0.714 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.15% (1.428 1.43)39.85% (-1.428 -1.43)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (0.351 0.35)32.29% (-0.35100000000001 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (0.395 0.4)68.79% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 58.1%
    Montpellier HSC 20.68%
    Draw 21.22%
MonacoDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.327 -0.33)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.165 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.91% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.128 0.13)
4-1 @ 3.39% (0.17 0.17)
4-0 @ 3% (0.123 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.114 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.103 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 58.1%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.269 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.279 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.22%
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-1 @ 4.8% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 20.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PSG 5-2 Monaco
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-0 Monaco
Saturday, November 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-0 Brest
Sunday, November 5 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Monaco
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-1 Metz
Sunday, October 22 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, October 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Clermont
Wednesday, November 29 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Brest
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Nice
Friday, November 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 3-0 Montpellier
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 3-0 Toulouse
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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